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Question: Modelling Share Prices as a Random Walk

Question:Modelling Share Prices as a Random Walk

Key-J 28 Maple
input
March 10 2007
0
Hi, I'm currently investigating whether share prices can be successfully be modelled as a random walk and as part of this wish to include a program to generate such walks using maple. I've already been able to produce a program (with some help) where the output is a simple ramdom walk. The inputs I had were the starting value of the walk, the probability of an increase ( where 1 minus this is the prob. of a decrease). how much to increase by at end stage. Only now I've done some research and found that there are two potentially ways of how share price are distributed either normally, or by a scaled t-distribution. Any ideas of how to implement these? Any help is greatly appreciated. Thanks.
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